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Home ยป Predictions ยป Tottenham x AZ Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Europa League
Tottenham Tottenham
PREDICTION Tottenham wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
AZ AZ
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Tottenham x AZ Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x AZ, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
19:00
Tottenham Tottenham
1.45
X
4.51
AZ AZ
6.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tottenham x AZ:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tottenham wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $725.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Tottenham x AZ:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-216.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Tottenham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tottenham is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tottenham x AZ for the UEFA Europa League – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tottenham X AZ – UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tottenham – Winning probability: 92.22% | Fair line: 1.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.45% | Fair line: 18.36
๐Ÿ”ด AZ – Winning probability: 2.33% | Fair line: 42.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Tottenham
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tottenham x AZ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tottenham x AZ

Is betting on Tottenham worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Tottenham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $414.00;
  • And would lose other 80 times – losing -$80.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$334.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $175.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$774.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on AZ?

๐Ÿ”ด AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $109.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$871.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x AZ

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Tottenham
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x AZ

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Tottenham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Tottenham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Tottenham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x AZ

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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