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Home » Predictions » FC Twente x Lazio Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Europa League
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION Lazio Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Lazio Lazio
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x Lazio Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Lazio, Thursday, 24/10/2024
📅 24/10/2024
19:00
FC Twente FC Twente
3.02
X
3.30
Lazio Lazio
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Twente x Lazio:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FC Twente x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 FC Twente matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Twente x Lazio for the UEFA Europa League – 24 of October

🏟️ FC Twente X Lazio – UEFA Europa League
📅 24 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 FC Twente – Winning probability: 30.90% | Fair line: 3.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.59% | Fair line: 4.07
🔴 Lazio – Winning probability: 44.52% | Fair line: 2.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Twente x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207665 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x Lazio

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $626.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$63.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$35.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Lazio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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