FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League
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24/10/2024 19:00 |
 FC Porto1.64 |
X 3.87 |
TSG Hoffenheim  4.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim:
๐ฎ FC Porto wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $820.00!
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Important information for your tip for FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim: ๐ If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0. |
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Analysis from FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim for the UEFA Europa League – 24 of October
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๐๏ธ FC Porto X TSG Hoffenheim – UEFA Europa League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Porto and TSG Hoffenheim.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Porto?
๐ต FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $531.20
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$361.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $287.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$613.00.
Should you bet on TSG Hoffenheim?
๐ด TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $262.50;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$667.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 FC Porto
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 FC Porto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 FC Porto.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 FC Porto.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x TSG Hoffenheim
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
