Udinese x Cagliari Betting tips for October 25 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Cagliari, Friday, 25/10/2024

📅 25/10/2024 16:30

Udinese 2.04

X 3.45

Cagliari 3.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Udinese x Cagliari:

🔮 Cagliari wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Important information for your tip for Udinese x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $460.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cagliari, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cagliari.

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Analysis from Udinese x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 25 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Cagliari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207819 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Cagliari

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

🔵 Udinese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $416.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $686.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $848.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$168.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Udinese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.