Santa Clara x Gil Vicente Betting tips for October 25 in Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 25/10/2024 19:45 |
Santa Clara 1.93 |
X 3.30 |
Gil Vicente 4.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente:
🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $965.00!
Important information for your tip for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $139.0. |
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Analysis from Santa Clara x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 25 of October
🏟️ Santa Clara X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente
Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?
🔵 Santa Clara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $502.20
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$42.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?
🔴 Gil Vicente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $496.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$344.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Gil Vicente
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Santa Clara.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Gil Vicente.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Gil Vicente
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.