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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Bologna x AC Milan Betting tips for October 26 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 16h00 Italy Serie A
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION No tip
AC Milan AC Milan
Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x AC Milan Betting tips for October 26 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x AC Milan, Saturday, 26/10/2024
πŸ“… 26/10/2024
16:00
Bologna Bologna
3.60
X
3.70
AC Milan AC Milan
1.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bologna x AC Milan:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bologna x AC Milan

Some important points for the tip for Bologna x AC Milan:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AC Milan.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bologna x AC Milan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x AC Milan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bologna x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 26 of October

🏟️ Bologna X AC Milan – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 26 of October, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Bologna – Winning probability: 25.68% | Fair line: 3.89
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.64% | Fair line: 3.9
πŸ”΄ AC Milan – Winning probability: 48.68% | Fair line: 2.05
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bologna x AC Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208521 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x AC Milan

Is betting on Bologna worth it?

πŸ”΅ Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $702.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$38.00.

Is betting on AC Milan worth it?

πŸ”΄ AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $465.50;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$44.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x AC Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x AC Milan

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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