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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya Betting tips for October 27 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 18h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Club Celaya Club Celaya
ODD: @3.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya Betting tips for October 27 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
18:00
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
2.16
X
3.22
Club Celaya Club Celaya
3.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1610.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Club Celaya conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 27 of October

🏟️ Universidad Guadalajara X Club Celaya – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Universidad Guadalajara – Winning probability: 39.99% | Fair line: 2.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.95% | Fair line: 3.03
🔴 Club Celaya – Winning probability: 27.06% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya

Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara worth it?

🔵 Universidad Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $732.60
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$62.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Celaya?

🔴 Club Celaya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $556.20;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$173.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara x Club Celaya

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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