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Home » Predictions » Others » Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 18h05 Argentina Nacional B
Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Patronato Parana Patronato Parana
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
18:05
Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown
2.75
X
2.89
Patronato Parana Patronato Parana
2.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guillermo Brown in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Patronato Parana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 Guillermo Brown did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Patronato Parana did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Guillermo Brown matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Patronato Parana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Patronato Parana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Patronato Parana as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana?

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Analysis from Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana for the Argentina Nacional B – 27 of October

🏟️ Guillermo Brown X Patronato Parana – Argentina Nacional B
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 18:05
🔵 Guillermo Brown – Winning probability: 27.01% | Fair line: 3.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.30% | Fair line: 2.54
🔴 Patronato Parana – Winning probability: 33.69% | Fair line: 2.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Guillermo Brown
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guillermo Brown and Patronato Parana.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana

Should you bet on Guillermo Brown?

🔵 Guillermo Brown: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $472.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$257.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $737.10;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$127.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on Patronato Parana?

🔴 Patronato Parana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $537.20
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Guillermo Brown
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Guillermo Brown and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Guillermo Brown.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guillermo Brown x Patronato Parana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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