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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Junior x America de Cali Betting tips for October 27 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 23h20 Colombia Primera A
Junior Junior
PREDICTION No tip
America de Cali America de Cali
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Junior x America de Cali Betting tips for October 27 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Junior x America de Cali, Sunday, 27/10/2024
πŸ“… 27/10/2024
23:20
Junior Junior
2.30
X
3.00
America de Cali America de Cali
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Junior x America de Cali:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Junior x America de Cali

Some important points for the tip for Junior x America de Cali:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $9.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against America de Cali, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Junior is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, America de Cali has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Junior has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against America de Cali.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Junior x America de Cali?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Junior x America de Cali for the Colombia Primera A – 27 of October

🏟️ Junior X America de Cali – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 27 of October, 2024 – 23:20
πŸ”΅ Junior – Winning probability: 43.23% | Fair line: 2.31
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.97% | Fair line: 3.23
πŸ”΄ America de Cali – Winning probability: 25.80% | Fair line: 3.88
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Junior x America de Cali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1210026 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Junior x America de Cali

Is it worth betting on Junior?

πŸ”΅ Junior: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $559.00
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$11.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on America de Cali?

πŸ”΄ America de Cali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Junior x America de Cali

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Junior x America de Cali

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Junior, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Junior.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Junior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Junior x America de Cali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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