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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » AVS x FC Porto Betting tips for October 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Monday, 28 October 2024, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
AVS AVS
PREDICTION FC Porto Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
FC Porto FC Porto
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

AVS x FC Porto Betting tips for October 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for AVS x FC Porto, Monday, 28/10/2024
📅 28/10/2024
20:15
AVS AVS
9.50
X
5.25
FC Porto FC Porto
1.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AVS x FC Porto:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AVS x FC Porto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-56.0.
👉 AVS did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 AVS matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 FC Porto matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AVS x FC Porto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AVS x FC Porto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AVS x FC Porto for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of October

🏟️ AVS X FC Porto – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 28 of October, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 AVS – Winning probability: 0.83% | Fair line: 120.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.62% | Fair line: 17.81
🔴 FC Porto – Winning probability: 93.55% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on AVS x FC Porto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211374 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AVS x FC Porto

Should you bet on AVS?

🔵 AVS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $85.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$905.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $255.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Porto?

🔴 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – profiting $282.00;
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$222.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AVS x FC Porto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVS x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 AVS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 AVS.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 AVS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVS x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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