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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Empoli x Inter Milan Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Empoli Empoli
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

Empoli x Inter Milan Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Empoli x Inter Milan, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:30
Empoli Empoli
7.00
X
4.50
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Empoli x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Empoli x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-37.0.
👉 Empoli did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Empoli matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Inter Milan.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Inter Milan won the last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Empoli x Inter Milan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Empoli x Inter Milan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Empoli x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 30 of October

🏟️ Empoli X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Empoli – Winning probability: 3.81% | Fair line: 26.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.75% | Fair line: 10.26
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 86.45% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Empoli x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Empoli x Inter Milan

Should you bet on Empoli?

🔵 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $350.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $369.80;
  • And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$229.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Inter Milan

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Empoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Empoli.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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