Newport County x Peterborough Betting tips for November 2 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Newport County x Peterborough, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 15:00

Newport County 4.60

X 3.96

Peterborough 1.66

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newport County x Peterborough:

🔮 Peterborough wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peterborough, you can win up to $830.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Newport County x Peterborough: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newport County in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $460.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterborough in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Peterborough conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Peterborough as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Newport County x Peterborough?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Newport County x Peterborough for the England FA Cup – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newport County x Peterborough right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newport County x Peterborough

Is it worth betting on Newport County?

🔵 Newport County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $396.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$494.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $236.80
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$683.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Peterborough?

🔴 Peterborough: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $534.60;
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$344.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newport County x Peterborough

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Newport County
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newport County x Peterborough

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Newport County and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Newport County.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newport County x Peterborough

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.