Gillingham x Blackpool Betting tips for November 2 in England FA Cup
| 📅 2/11/2024 15:00 |
 Gillingham3.49 |
X 3.52 |
Blackpool  1.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gillingham x Blackpool:
🔮 Blackpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Blackpool, you can win up to $950.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Gillingham x Blackpool: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gillingham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. |
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Analysis from Gillingham x Blackpool for the England FA Cup – 2 of November
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🏟️ Gillingham X Blackpool – England FA Cup |
When the best bet on Gillingham x Blackpool is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gillingham x Blackpool
Is betting on Gillingham worth it?
🔵 Gillingham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $597.60;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $201.60;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$718.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Blackpool?
🔴 Blackpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $612.00;
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$292.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gillingham x Blackpool
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gillingham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gillingham x Blackpool
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Gillingham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Gillingham.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gillingham x Blackpool
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
