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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » SC Farense x Benfica Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 18h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
SC Farense SC Farense
PREDICTION Benfica Wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Benfica Benfica
ODD: @1.23 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense x Benfica Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for SC Farense x Benfica, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
18:00
SC Farense SC Farense
9.86
X
6.08
Benfica Benfica
1.23

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SC Farense x Benfica:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $615.00!

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Important information for your tip for SC Farense x Benfica:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-83.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Benfica has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Farense x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 2 of November

🏟️ SC Farense X Benfica – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 SC Farense – Winning probability: 0.43% | Fair line: 233.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.82% | Fair line: 35.41
🔴 Benfica – Winning probability: 96.75% | Fair line: 1.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Farense x Benfica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense x Benfica

Is betting on SC Farense worth it?

🔵 SC Farense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $152.40;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$817.60.

Should you bet on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 96.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $223.10
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Benfica

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.0 SC Farense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 SC Farense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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