Napoli x Atalanta Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 3/11/2024 11:30 |
 Napoli2.09 |
X 3.65 |
Atalanta  3.45 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Napoli x Atalanta:
🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $1045.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Napoli x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Napoli x Atalanta?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Napoli x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 3 of November
|
🏟️ Napoli X Atalanta – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Napoli x Atalanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214521 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli x Atalanta
Is betting on Napoli worth it?
🔵 Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $566.80;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$86.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $609.50
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atalanta?
🔴 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $637.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Atalanta
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Atalanta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Napoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Napoli.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Atalanta
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
