Verona x Roma Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x Roma, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 17:00

Verona 3.95

X 3.60

Roma 1.88

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Verona x Roma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $940.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Verona x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Roma, Verona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Verona x Roma, with Verona as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Roma. 👉 Roma is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.

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Analysis from Verona x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 3 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Verona and Roma.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Verona x Roma

Is it worth betting on Verona?

🔵 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $501.50;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔴 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$222.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Roma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Verona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Verona.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.