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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Guimaraes x Moreirense Betting tips for November 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 18h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Guimaraes Guimaraes
PREDICTION Guimaraes wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Moreirense Moreirense
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Guimaraes x Moreirense Betting tips for November 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Guimaraes x Moreirense, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
18:00
Guimaraes Guimaraes
1.74
X
3.40
Moreirense Moreirense
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Guimaraes x Moreirense:

🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $870.00!

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Important information for your tip for Guimaraes x Moreirense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-42.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Moreirense, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Guimaraes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Guimaraes has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Moreirense playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Guimaraes x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of November

🏟️ Guimaraes X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 70.12% | Fair line: 1.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.15% | Fair line: 4.73
🔴 Moreirense – Winning probability: 8.74% | Fair line: 11.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Guimaraes x Moreirense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guimaraes x Moreirense

Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?

🔵 Guimaraes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – profiting $518.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

🔴 Moreirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x Moreirense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Moreirense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Guimaraes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Guimaraes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x Moreirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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