FC Porto x Estoril Betting tips for November 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Estoril, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 20:30

FC Porto 1.14

X 7.98

Estoril 16.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Porto x Estoril:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $570.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for FC Porto x Estoril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 FC Porto is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Porto x Estoril?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Porto x Estoril:

Analysis from FC Porto x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Porto x Estoril right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Porto x Estoril

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $138.60;
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$128.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $69.80
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$920.20.

Is it worth betting on Estoril?

🔴 Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 16.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Estoril

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Estoril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 FC Porto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Estoril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.