Parma x Genoa Betting tips for November 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Genoa, Monday, 4/11/2024

📅 4/11/2024 17:30

Parma 1.98

X 3.55

Genoa 3.52

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Genoa:

🔮 Parma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parma, you can win up to $990.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Parma x Genoa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Genoa, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Genoa conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Genoa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Parma x Genoa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Genoa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Parma x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 4 of November

When the best bet on Parma x Genoa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1215076 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Genoa

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $627.20
• And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$290.00.

Should you bet on Genoa?

🔴 Genoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $403.20
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$436.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Genoa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Parma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Genoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.