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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Lazio x Cagliari Betting tips for November 4 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 04 November 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Cagliari Cagliari
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Cagliari Betting tips for November 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Cagliari, Monday, 4/11/2024
📅 4/11/2024
19:45
Lazio Lazio
1.55
X
4.20
Cagliari Cagliari
5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lazio x Cagliari:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Lazio x Cagliari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $154.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cagliari, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lazio is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Lazio has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Cagliari?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Cagliari, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lazio x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 4 of November

🏟️ Lazio X Cagliari – Italy Serie A
📅 4 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 76.95% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.94% | Fair line: 6.69
🔴 Cagliari – Winning probability: 8.12% | Fair line: 12.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lazio and Cagliari.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1215076 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Cagliari

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $423.50;
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Lazio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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