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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Nacional x Santa Clara Betting tips for November 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Monday, 04 November 2024, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Santa Clara Santa Clara
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Nacional x Santa Clara Betting tips for November 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Nacional x Santa Clara, Monday, 4/11/2024
📅 4/11/2024
20:15
Nacional Nacional
3.25
X
3.15
Santa Clara Santa Clara
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nacional x Santa Clara:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!

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Important information for your tip for Nacional x Santa Clara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Santa Clara, Nacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Santa Clara.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nacional x Santa Clara?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nacional x Santa Clara for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 4 of November

🏟️ Nacional X Santa Clara – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 4 of November, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Nacional – Winning probability: 20.63% | Fair line: 4.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.45% | Fair line: 2.67
🔴 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 41.92% | Fair line: 2.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and Santa Clara.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x Santa Clara

Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional?

🔵 Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $795.50;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$165.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?

🔴 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$55.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Santa Clara

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Santa Clara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Nacional.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Santa Clara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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