Genoa x Como Betting tips for November 7 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 7/11/2024 19:45 |
 Genoa3.05 |
X 3.25 |
Como  2.36 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Como:
🔮 Como wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Como, you can win up to $1180.00!
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Important information for your tip for Genoa x Como: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Genoa x Como for the Italy Serie A – 7 of November
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🏟️ Genoa X Como – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Genoa x Como is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217827 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Genoa x Como
Should you bet on Genoa?
🔵 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $328.00
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$512.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $382.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$447.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Como?
🔴 Como: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $911.20
- And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$581.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Como
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Como
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Genoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Genoa.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Como
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
