Moreirense x Gil Vicente Betting tips for November 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x Gil Vicente, Friday, 8/11/2024

📅 8/11/2024 20:15

Moreirense 2.10

X 3.15

Gil Vicente 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Moreirense x Gil Vicente:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Gil Vicente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-355.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Moreirense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Gil Vicente.

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Analysis from Moreirense x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 8 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Moreirense and Gil Vicente.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $517.00;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$13.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $709.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$39.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?

🔴 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Gil Vicente

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Moreirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Moreirense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Moreirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.