Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Moreirense x Gil Vicente Betting tips for November 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Friday, 08 November 2024, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
PREDICTION Moreirense wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Moreirense x Gil Vicente Betting tips for November 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x Gil Vicente, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
20:15
Moreirense Moreirense
2.10
X
3.12
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
3.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Moreirense x Gil Vicente:

🔮 Moreirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreirense, you can win up to $1050.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1560.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Gil Vicente:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Moreirense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Gil Vicente.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Moreirense x Gil Vicente?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Moreirense x Gil Vicente, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Moreirense x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 8 of November

🏟️ Moreirense X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Moreirense – Winning probability: 48.10% | Fair line: 2.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.24% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Gil Vicente – Winning probability: 16.66% | Fair line: 6.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Moreirense x Gil Vicente is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218313 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

Should you bet on Moreirense?

🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$8.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $742.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gil Vicente?

🔴 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $445.40;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Gil Vicente

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Moreirense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Gil Vicente

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters