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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Estoril x AVS Betting tips for November 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
PREDICTION AVS Wins Probability 32% 1 X 2
AVS AVS
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Estoril x AVS Betting tips for November 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estoril x AVS, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
15:30
Estoril Estoril
2.40
X
3.10
AVS AVS
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estoril x AVS:

🔮 AVS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AVS, you can win up to $1550.00!

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The main points for the tip for Estoril x AVS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Estoril x AVS for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 9 of November

🏟️ Estoril X AVS – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Estoril – Winning probability: 39.62% | Fair line: 2.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.13% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 AVS – Winning probability: 32.25% | Fair line: 3.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estoril and AVS.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x AVS

Is it worth betting on Estoril?

🔵 Estoril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on AVS?

🔴 AVS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$8.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x AVS

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x AVS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Estoril and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Estoril.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AVS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x AVS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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