Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 30 in Colombia Primera A
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30/11/2024 01:30 |
 Millonarios1.98 |
X 3.10 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin  3.80 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin
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Some important points for the tip for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin: π If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0. |
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Analysis from Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 30 of November
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ποΈ Millonarios X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Is it worth betting on Millonarios?
π΅ Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $509.60
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$29.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$39.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
π΄ Atletico Nacional Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $476.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$354.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Millonarios
β½ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Millonarios, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Millonarios.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Millonarios.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Atletico Nacional Medellin
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
