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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes Betting tips for December 1 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 20h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
PREDICTION No tip
Los Andes Los Andes
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Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes Betting tips for December 1 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
20:00
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
1.85
X
3.00
Los Andes Los Andes
4.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes

Important information for your tip for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Armenio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Los Andes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportivo Armenio scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Los Andes, Deportivo Armenio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Los Andes matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Los Andes conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Deportivo Armenio is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 1 of December

🏟️ Deportivo Armenio X Los Andes – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Deportivo Armenio – Winning probability: 53.69% | Fair line: 1.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.27% | Fair line: 3.1
πŸ”΄ Los Andes – Winning probability: 14.03% | Fair line: 7.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Armenio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229024 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Armenio?

πŸ”΅ Deportivo Armenio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$1.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Los Andes?

πŸ”΄ Los Andes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$398.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Armenio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Armenio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportivo Armenio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Deportivo Armenio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Armenio x Los Andes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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