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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Como x Monza Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Como Como
PREDICTION No tip
Monza Monza
Don't miss this prediction!

Como x Monza Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x Monza, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
14:00
Como Como
1.91
X
3.40
Monza Monza
3.99

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Como x Monza:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Como x Monza

Some important points for the tip for Como x Monza:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Como x Monza, with Como as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Como x Monza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Como x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Como x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Como X Monza – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Como – Winning probability: 46.48% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.22% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ Monza – Winning probability: 25.31% | Fair line: 3.95
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Monza

Should you bet on Como?

πŸ”΅ Como: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $418.60;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$121.40.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$48.00.

Should you bet on Monza?

πŸ”΄ Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $747.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$2.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Monza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Monza

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Como and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Como.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Monza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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