AC Milan x Empoli Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Empoli, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 17:00

AC Milan 1.36

X 4.80

Empoli 8.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Milan x Empoli:

🔮 Empoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Empoli, you can win up to $4225.00!

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The main points for the tip for AC Milan x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Empoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AC Milan x Empoli, with AC Milan as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AC Milan has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Empoli playing at home.

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Analysis from AC Milan x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 30 of November

When the best bet on AC Milan x Empoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Milan x Empoli

Is it worth betting on AC Milan?

🔵 AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $241.20;
• And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $418.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

🔴 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $1639.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$859.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Empoli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Empoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AC Milan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Empoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.