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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Bologna x Venezia Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Venezia Venezia
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Venezia Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Venezia, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
19:45
Bologna Bologna
1.53
X
4.00
Venezia Venezia
6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bologna x Venezia:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bologna x Venezia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bologna x Venezia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Bologna x Venezia for the Italy Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Bologna X Venezia – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 67.63% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.30% | Fair line: 5.18
🔴 Venezia – Winning probability: 13.07% | Fair line: 7.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Venezia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Venezia

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $360.40;
  • And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is it worth betting on Venezia?

🔴 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $650.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Venezia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Venezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Bologna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Venezia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Venezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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