Estoril x Famalicao Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estoril x Famalicao, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 15:30

Estoril 3.20

X 3.16

Famalicao 2.24

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estoril x Famalicao:

🔮 Famalicao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Famalicao, you can win up to $1120.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Estoril x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-151.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Estoril x Famalicao, with Estoril as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Famalicao has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Estoril x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estoril and Famalicao.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x Famalicao

Is it worth betting on Estoril?

🔵 Estoril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $352.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$488.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $583.20;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$146.80.

Is it worth betting on Famalicao?

🔴 Famalicao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $706.80;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$276.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Famalicao

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Estoril, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Estoril.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Famalicao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.