Guimaraes x Gil Vicente Betting tips for December 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente, Monday, 2/12/2024

📅 2/12/2024 18:45

Guimaraes 1.71

X 3.62

Gil Vicente 4.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente:

🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $855.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gil Vicente, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Guimaraes is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Guimaraes has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Gil Vicente.

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Analysis from Guimaraes x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 2 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guimaraes and Gil Vicente.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230608 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente

Is it worth betting on Guimaraes?

🔵 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $504.10;
• And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$214.10.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $550.20;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$239.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gil Vicente?

🔴 Gil Vicente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $294.40;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$625.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x Gil Vicente

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Guimaraes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Guimaraes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Gil Vicente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.