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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Roma x Atalanta Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 02 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Roma Roma
PREDICTION Atalanta Wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Atalanta Atalanta
ODD: @2.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Roma x Atalanta Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Atalanta, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
19:45
Roma Roma
2.90
X
3.45
Atalanta Atalanta
2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Roma x Atalanta:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $1140.00!

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Important information for your tip for Roma x Atalanta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-27.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $553.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Roma x Atalanta, with Roma as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Atalanta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Roma x Atalanta?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Roma x Atalanta:

Analysis from Roma x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 2 of December

🏟️ Roma X Atalanta – Italy Serie A
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Roma – Winning probability: 27.13% | Fair line: 3.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.88% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 Atalanta – Winning probability: 48.00% | Fair line: 2.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Roma x Atalanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230608 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Atalanta

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔵 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $612.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on Atalanta?

🔴 Atalanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $614.40;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$94.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Atalanta

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Atalanta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Roma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Roma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Atalanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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