Cagliari x Atalanta Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 14/12/2024 14:00 |
 Cagliari4.90 |
X 4.20 |
Atalanta  1.61 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cagliari x Atalanta:
🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $805.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Cagliari x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $116.0. |
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Analysis from Cagliari x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 14 of December
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🏟️ Cagliari X Atalanta – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Cagliari x Atalanta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236358 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Atalanta
Should you bet on Cagliari?
🔵 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $429.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$461.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$412.00.
Should you bet on Atalanta?
🔴 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $457.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Atalanta
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Atalanta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Cagliari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Cagliari.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Atalanta
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
