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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Udinese x Napoli Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 17h00 Italy Serie A
Udinese Udinese
PREDICTION No tip
Napoli Napoli
Don't miss this prediction!

Udinese x Napoli Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Napoli, Saturday, 14/12/2024
πŸ“… 14/12/2024
17:00
Udinese Udinese
4.78
X
3.50
Napoli Napoli
1.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Napoli:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Udinese x Napoli

Important information for your tip for Udinese x Napoli:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Udinese matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Napoli.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Udinese x Napoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Udinese x Napoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Udinese x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Udinese X Napoli – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2024 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Udinese – Winning probability: 16.34% | Fair line: 6.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.17% | Fair line: 4.14
πŸ”΄ Napoli – Winning probability: 59.50% | Fair line: 1.68
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Udinese x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236358 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Napoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Udinese?

πŸ”΅ Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $604.80;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$235.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?

πŸ”΄ Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $460.20;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$50.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Napoli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Napoli

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Udinese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Udinese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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