Bologna x Fiorentina Betting tips for December 15 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 15/12/2024 14:00 |
 Bologna2.64 |
X 3.20 |
Fiorentina  2.70 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bologna x Fiorentina:
🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $1350.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Bologna x Fiorentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Bologna x Fiorentina?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Fiorentina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Bologna x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 15 of December
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🏟️ Bologna X Fiorentina – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Fiorentina.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Fiorentina
Is it worth betting on Bologna?
🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $606.80;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$23.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?
🔴 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $697.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Fiorentina
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Fiorentina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bologna.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bologna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Fiorentina
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
