Parma x Verona Betting tips for December 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Verona, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 14:00

Parma 1.86

X 3.60

Verona 4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Verona:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Parma x Verona

The main points for the tip for Parma x Verona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Verona as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Parma x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 15 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Parma and Verona.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Verona

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $455.80
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Verona?

🔴 Verona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Verona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Parma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Parma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.