Estoril x Casa Pia Betting tips for December 15 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estoril x Casa Pia, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 20:30

Estoril 2.60

X 3.12

Casa Pia 2.76

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estoril x Casa Pia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1560.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Estoril x Casa Pia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $355.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Casa Pia, Estoril scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Estoril has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Casa Pia playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estoril x Casa Pia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Estoril x Casa Pia:

Analysis from Estoril x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estoril x Casa Pia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237062 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estoril x Casa Pia

Is betting on Estoril worth it?

🔵 Estoril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $464.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$246.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $784.40;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$154.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $598.40;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$61.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Casa Pia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Estoril, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Estoril.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.