FC Porto x Estrela Betting tips for December 16 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Estrela, Monday, 16/12/2024

📅 16/12/2024 20:15

FC Porto 1.13

X 7.98

Estrela 17.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Porto x Estrela:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $565.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Estrela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $126.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. 👉 FC Porto did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estrela conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Porto is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession. 👉 FC Porto is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Estrela as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Porto x Estrela?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Porto x Estrela, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Porto x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 16 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Porto x Estrela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237660 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Porto x Estrela

Should you bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $128.70
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.70.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $69.80;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$920.20.

Is betting on Estrela worth it?

🔴 Estrela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Estrela

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Estrela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 FC Porto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Estrela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Estrela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.