Roma x Parma Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Parma, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 11:30

Roma 1.57

X 4.20

Parma 5.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Roma x Parma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $785.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Roma x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Roma scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Roma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Parma matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Roma x Parma, with Roma as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Roma has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Roma x Parma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Roma x Parma:

Analysis from Roma x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 22 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Roma and Parma.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239281 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Parma

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔵 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $427.50;
• And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$177.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on Parma?

🔴 Parma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $376.20;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$533.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Parma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Roma. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.