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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Venezia x Cagliari Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Cagliari Cagliari
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Cagliari Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Cagliari, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
14:00
Venezia Venezia
2.40
X
3.30
Cagliari Cagliari
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Venezia x Cagliari:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

🔮 Cagliari wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Venezia x Cagliari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Cagliari?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Venezia x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 22 of December

🏟️ Venezia X Cagliari – Italy Serie A
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Venezia – Winning probability: 31.07% | Fair line: 3.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.17% | Fair line: 3.11
🔴 Cagliari – Winning probability: 36.76% | Fair line: 2.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Venezia x Cagliari is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239261 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venezia x Cagliari

Should you bet on Venezia?

🔵 Venezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $434.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $736.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $703.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$73.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Venezia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Venezia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Cagliari.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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