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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Santa Clara x Braga Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 17h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
PREDICTION Santa Clara wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Braga Braga
ODD: @3.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Clara x Braga Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x Braga, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
17:00
Santa Clara Santa Clara
3.12
X
3.20
Braga Braga
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Santa Clara x Braga:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $1560.00!

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The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Braga:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $497.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-42.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Santa Clara conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Braga.
👉 Santa Clara is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Santa Clara x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 22 of December

🏟️ Santa Clara X Braga – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 48.25% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.28% | Fair line: 4.3
🔴 Braga – Winning probability: 28.48% | Fair line: 3.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santa Clara x Braga is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239261 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Braga

Should you bet on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $1017.60;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$497.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it worth betting on Braga?

🔴 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $364.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Braga

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Santa Clara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Santa Clara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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