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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Gil Vicente x Sporting Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 20h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
PREDICTION Sporting Wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Gil Vicente x Sporting Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Sporting, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
20:30
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
8.65
X
5.50
Sporting Sporting
1.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gil Vicente x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gil Vicente x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Gil Vicente matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Sporting matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sporting conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Gil Vicente x Sporting?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gil Vicente x Sporting:

Analysis from Gil Vicente x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 22 of December

🏟️ Gil Vicente X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Gil Vicente – Winning probability: 4.49% | Fair line: 22.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.99% | Fair line: 20.05
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 90.52% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gil Vicente and Sporting.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239261 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Sporting

Is it worth betting on Gil Vicente?

🔵 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $306.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$654.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$725.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting?

🔴 Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $273.00;
  • And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Sporting

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Gil Vicente, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Gil Vicente.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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