Benfica x Estoril Betting tips for December 23 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Benfica x Estoril, Monday, 23/12/2024

📅 23/12/2024 18:45

Benfica 1.09

X 10.00

Estoril 21.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benfica x Estoril:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $545.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Benfica x Estoril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $64.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Benfica did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estoril, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Benfica has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Estoril playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Benfica x Estoril?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Benfica x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 23 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Benfica x Estoril right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239435 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Benfica x Estoril

Should you bet on Benfica?

🔵 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – profiting $90.00;
• And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$90.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Estoril?

🔴 Estoril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 21.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Estoril

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.0 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Estoril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.0 Benfica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Benfica.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.