Arouca x Gil Vicente Betting tips for December 27 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 27/12/2024 20:15 |
 Arouca2.30 |
X 3.20 |
Gil Vicente  2.95 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arouca x Gil Vicente:
🔮 Arouca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arouca, you can win up to $1150.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Arouca x Gil Vicente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. |
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Analysis from Arouca x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 27 of December
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🏟️ Arouca X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arouca and Gil Vicente.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240180 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
Is it worth betting on Arouca?
🔵 Arouca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $858.00;
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$518.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $352.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$488.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Gil Vicente?
🔴 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $351.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$469.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x Gil Vicente
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Arouca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Arouca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Arouca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
