Empoli x Genoa Betting tips for December 28 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Empoli x Genoa, Saturday, 28/12/2024

📅 28/12/2024 14:00

Empoli 2.40

X 3.00

Genoa 3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Empoli x Genoa:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Empoli x Genoa

Important information for your tip for Empoli x Genoa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0. 👉 Genoa did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Empoli matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Genoa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Genoa has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Empoli x Genoa?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Empoli x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 28 of December

When the best bet on Empoli x Genoa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240200 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Empoli x Genoa

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

🔵 Empoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $518.00;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $740.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$110.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Genoa?

🔴 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Genoa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Empoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Empoli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Genoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.