Estoril x Moreirense Betting tips for December 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 28/12/2024 18:00 |
 Estoril3.25 |
X 3.02 |
Moreirense  2.33 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Estoril x Moreirense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1510.00!
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The main points for the tip for Estoril x Moreirense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
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Analysis from Estoril x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of December
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🏟️ Estoril X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estoril and Moreirense.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240200 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x Moreirense
Is it worth betting on Estoril?
🔵 Estoril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $517.50;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $747.40;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$117.40.
Should you bet on Moreirense?
🔴 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $545.30;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$44.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Moreirense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Moreirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Estoril and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Estoril.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Moreirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Moreirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
