Juventus x Fiorentina Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Fiorentina, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 17:00

Juventus 1.94

X 3.40

Fiorentina 3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Juventus x Fiorentina:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Juventus x Fiorentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Juventus scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fiorentina, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Fiorentina matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Juventus x Fiorentina, with Juventus as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Juventus has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Fiorentina.

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Analysis from Juventus x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 29 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventus and Fiorentina.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Fiorentina

Is it worth betting on Juventus?

🔵 Juventus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $441.80;
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $816.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.00.

Is betting on Fiorentina worth it?

🔴 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Fiorentina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Juventus.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.