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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Bologna x Verona Betting tips for December 30 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 30 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Verona Verona
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Verona Betting tips for December 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Verona, Monday, 30/12/2024
📅 30/12/2024
19:45
Bologna Bologna
1.56
X
3.90
Verona Verona
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Verona:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $780.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bologna x Verona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 Bologna did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Verona, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bologna x Verona, with Bologna as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bologna is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bologna x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 30 of December

🏟️ Bologna X Verona – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 82.77% | Fair line: 1.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.77% | Fair line: 9.29
🔴 Verona – Winning probability: 6.46% | Fair line: 15.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bologna x Verona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240492 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Verona

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $464.80;
  • And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$294.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $319.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Should you bet on Verona?

🔴 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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