Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos Betting tips for January 5 in Iran Div 2

Our betting tip for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 10:30

Spad Alvand 3.06

X 3.00

Nika Pars Chaloos 2.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos

The main points for the tip for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Spad Alvand in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nika Pars Chaloos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Nika Pars Chaloos did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Spad Alvand scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Nika Pars Chaloos matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Spad Alvand conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nika Pars Chaloos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Nika Pars Chaloos as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos for the Iran Div 2 – 5 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242039 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos

Is it worth betting on Spad Alvand?

🔵 Spad Alvand: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $432.60
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$357.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it worth betting on Nika Pars Chaloos?

🔴 Nika Pars Chaloos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $522.00;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Spad Alvand
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Spad Alvand, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Spad Alvand.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nika Pars Chaloos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spad Alvand x Nika Pars Chaloos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.