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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha Betting tips for January 7 in Egypt Division 1
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 15h00 Egypt Division 1
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
PREDICTION Smouha Wins Probability 12% 1 X 2
Smouha Smouha
ODD: @6.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha Betting tips for January 7 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
📅 7/1/2025
15:00
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
1.44
X
4.00
Smouha Smouha
6.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha:

🔮 Smouha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Smouha, you can win up to $3450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ahly Cairo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Smouha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 Al Ahly Cairo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Smouha playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha:

Analysis from Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha for the Egypt Division 1 – 7 of January

🏟️ Al Ahly Cairo X Smouha – Egypt Division 1
📅 7 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Al Ahly Cairo – Winning probability: 70.68% | Fair line: 1.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.89% | Fair line: 5.92
🔴 Smouha – Winning probability: 12.44% | Fair line: 8.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Ahly Cairo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha

Should you bet on Al Ahly Cairo?

🔵 Al Ahly Cairo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $312.40;
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$22.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it worth betting on Smouha?

🔴 Smouha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $708.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$172.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Ahly Cairo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Al Ahly Cairo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Al Ahly Cairo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Smouha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Ahly Cairo x Smouha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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